Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Vigor Mocidade in this Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcobaca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Vigor Mocidade at 1.09 per game, Alcobaca at 0.65.
- 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Vigor Mocidade, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Alcobaca Clean Sheet 13%
Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcobaca | Vigor Mocidade |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 11 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 24 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.65 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Alcobaca vs Vigor Mocidade
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcobaca 35 / 100
Vigor Mocidade 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcobaca Vigor Mocidade
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vigor Mocidade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vigor Mocidade's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.
Vigor Mocidade's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Alcobaca found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Alcobaca VS Vigor Mocidade
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcobaca
(Home) 14 May
Alcobaca
0 : 3 SC Lusitania
07 May
Sertanense
3 : 0 Alcobaca
30 Apr
Alcobaca
2 : 2 Sporting Ideal
23 Apr
Alcobaca
3 : 0 Gafetense
15 Apr
SC Angrense
4 : 0 Alcobaca
Page 1 of 7
14 May
Alcobaca
0 : 3 SC Lusitania
30 Apr
Alcobaca
2 : 2 Sporting Ideal
23 Apr
Alcobaca
3 : 0 Gafetense
09 Apr
Alcobaca
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
19 Mar
Alcobaca
0 : 1 Sertanense
Page 1 of 4
Vigor Mocidade
(Away) 02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
11 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 Uniao de Coimbra
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
05 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 CD Ribeira Brava
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 3
02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
18 Oct
Cruzado Canicense
1 : 4 Vigor Mocidade
13 Sept
GD Peniche
0 : 1 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2
