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Alcobendas vs Parla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Sun, May 17, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcobendas host Parla in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Parla have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Alcobendas have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Alcobendas have won 2 to Parla's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 0.93) point toward Alcobendas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alcobendas
30%
Draws
6%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parla lately — more wins on the board than Alcobendas.
  • Alcobendas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 20%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobendas Parla
Matches Played 20 39
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Parla
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Alcobendas
4:3
Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Parla
1:1
Oct 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Alcobendas
0:3
Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Parla
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobendas 85 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobendas Parla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcobendas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Alcobendas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Alcobendas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Parla let in goals in 79% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parla
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobendas

(Home)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

Parla

(Away)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)