Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcobendas vs Union Adarve

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 19, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcobendas host Union Adarve in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alcobendas have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Union Adarve's 1.53 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Alcobendas have won 2 to Union Adarve's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.30, favoring Union Adarve. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alcobendas
35%
Draws
23%
Union Adarve
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alcobendas haven't matched Union Adarve's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Alcobendas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 19%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobendas Union Adarve
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Union Adarve
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Alcobendas
3:4
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Alcobendas
1:0
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Union Adarve
1:0
Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Union Adarve
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobendas 42 / 100
Union Adarve 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobendas Union Adarve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Alcobendas scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Union Adarve let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Union Adarve
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobendas

(Home)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
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Union Adarve

(Away)
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2
CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)