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Alcorcon B vs AD Colmenar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 game between Alcorcon B and AD Colmenar finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Alcorcon B
35%
Draws
38%
AD Colmenar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AD Colmenar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Alcorcon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alcorcon B's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alcorcon B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 20%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon B AD Colmenar
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Alcorcon B
1:3
Oct 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs AD Colmenar
3:0
May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs AD Colmenar
4:0
Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Alcorcon B
0:3
Feb 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs AD Colmenar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon B 40 / 100
AD Colmenar 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon B AD Colmenar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Colmenar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Alcorcon B's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Solid form: Alcorcon B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon B VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon B

(Home)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
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AD Colmenar

(Away)
21 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
23 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 1
Moratalaz
13 May
AD Colmenar
4 : 0
San Agustin
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3
AD Colmenar
02 May
AD Colmenar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 38 21 8 9 67:38 71
2 Navalcarnero 38 18 10 10 43:37 64
3 Mexico 38 17 13 8 59:39 64
4 Union Adarve 38 17 12 9 40:31 63
5 Alcorcon B 38 17 12 9 57:41 63
6 San Sebastian Reyes 38 18 8 12 47:32 62
7 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 12 10 48:42 60
8 RSD Alcala 38 13 17 8 41:29 56
9 Real Madrid C 38 16 7 15 50:40 55
10 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 16 6 16 46:45 54
11 Parla 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
12 Atletico Pinto 38 15 7 16 44:42 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 14 7 17 53:66 49
14 Puerta Bonita 38 12 11 15 42:44 47
15 CD Mostoles 38 11 13 14 44:46 46
16 San Fernando de Henares 38 9 17 12 35:42 44
17 Siello 38 10 13 15 37:51 43
18 Alcobendas 38 7 15 16 35:49 36
19 AD Colmenar 38 10 5 23 35:65 35
20 AD Torrejon 38 6 2 30 22:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)