Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcorcon B vs El Alamo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rodriguez A.
11' Event
Amaro J.
17' Event
Corrales Moreno L. M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Alcorcon B and El Alamo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alcorcon B
30%
Draws
23%
El Alamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alcorcon B come out ahead of El Alamo on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Alcorcon B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 20%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon B El Alamo
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs El Alamo
3:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Alcorcon B
1:2
Feb 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs El Alamo
1:1
Oct 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Alcorcon B
2:4
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs El Alamo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

El Alamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Corrales Moreno L. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon B 85 / 100
El Alamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon B El Alamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Alamo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alcorcon B scored in 68% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alcorcon B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon B VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon B

(Home)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
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El Alamo

(Away)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)