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Alcorcon B vs Leganes B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Fernandez S.

AI Match Summary

Leganes B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leganes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alcorcon B
35%
Draws
32%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Leganes B haven't matched Alcorcon B's recent run of results.
  • Alcorcon B are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 19%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon B Leganes B
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Leganes B
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Alcorcon B
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Alcorcon B
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Leganes B
2:2
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Leganes B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon B 67 / 100
Leganes B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon B Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon B's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Leganes B let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Alcorcon B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon B VS Leganes B
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon B

(Home)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
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Leganes B

(Away)
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1
Leganes B
12 Aug
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 3
Leganes B
08 Aug
Illescas
1 : 2
Leganes B
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Leganes B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)