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Alcorcon vs Baleares

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vacas L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Alcorcon and Baleares finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alcorcon
30%
Draws
33%
Baleares
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baleares come out ahead of Alcorcon on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%
Baleares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon Baleares
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.73
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Alcorcon vs Baleares
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Alcorcon vs Baleares
0:0
Aug 17, 2022 Club Friendly
Alcorcon vs Baleares
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Vacas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Baleares Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon 41 / 100
Baleares 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon Baleares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Baleares's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Alcorcon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon VS Baleares
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon

(Home)
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Navalcarnero
01 Aug
Alcorcon
2 : 0
Getafe B
23 May
Sevilla B
1 : 1
Alcorcon
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
08 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 1
Alcorcon
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Baleares

(Away)
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1
Mallorca B
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
17 May
Baleares
1 : 1
Coruxo FC
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