Sport Picks
Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo, Alcorcón 
Match Events
2'
2'
Ouhdadi O.
Assist: Cuesta M.
10'
10'
Ouhdadi O.
Assist: Aparicio E.
26'
26'
Martinez D.
Assist: Cuesta M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Alcorcon and Gimnastic de Tarragona finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gimnastic de Tarragona haven't matched Alcorcon's recent run of results.
- Alcorcon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcorcon | Gimnastic de Tarragona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
3:0
Feb 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Alcorcon
1:2
Jun 1, 2019 LaLiga2
Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
0:1
Oct 15, 2018 LaLiga2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Alcorcon
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcorcon Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouhdadi O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcorcon 95 / 100
Gimnastic de Tarragona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcorcon Gimnastic de Tarragona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gimnastic de Tarragona conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Alcorcon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Alcorcon found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Alcorcon VS Gimnastic de Tarragona
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcorcon
(Home) 03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0 Torremolinos
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2 Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1 Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0 CE Europa
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0 Torremolinos
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0 CE Europa
12 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 3
Gimnastic de Tarragona
(Away) 04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2 Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2 Algeciras
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
22 Aug
Espanyol B
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
19 Aug
Villarreal B
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Jaen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Hercules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 9 | UD Ibiza | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Atl. Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Aguilas FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 18 | CE Europa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | 2 |
| 20 | Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 1 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
