Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcorcon vs Leonesa

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

Leonesa in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Alcorcon
35%
Draws
13%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcorcon lately — more wins on the board than Leonesa.
  • Model gives Alcorcon a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon Leonesa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.31 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Alcorcon vs Leonesa
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Alcorcon
0:2
Oct 16, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Alcorcon vs Leonesa
2:0
May 4, 2018 LaLiga2
Alcorcon vs Leonesa
0:0
Dec 3, 2017 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Alcorcon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon 95 / 100
Leonesa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonesa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Alcorcon scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Alcorcon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon VS Leonesa
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon

(Home)
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Navalcarnero
01 Aug
Alcorcon
2 : 0
Getafe B
23 May
Sevilla B
1 : 1
Alcorcon
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
08 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 1
Alcorcon
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Leonesa

(Away)
08 Aug
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Leonesa
05 Aug
Leonesa
1 : 1
Real Aviles
01 Aug
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 0
Leonesa
30 May
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Leonesa
24 May
Leonesa
0 : 2
Burgos CF
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