Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcorcon vs Leonesa

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

Leonesa in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alcorcon
35%
Draws
31%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcorcon lately — more wins on the board than Leonesa.
  • Model gives Alcorcon a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon Leonesa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.41 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Alcorcon vs Leonesa
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Alcorcon
0:2
Oct 16, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Alcorcon vs Leonesa
2:0
May 4, 2018 LaLiga2
Alcorcon vs Leonesa
0:0
Dec 3, 2017 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Alcorcon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon 59 / 100
Leonesa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Alcorcon scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Leonesa let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon VS Leonesa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa

(Away)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6