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Alcorcon vs Torremolinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lancho J.
Assist: Aparicio E.
33' Event
Lancho J.
38' Event
Berlanga M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Alcorcon and Torremolinos finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Alcorcon
20%
Draws
0%
Torremolinos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Alcorcon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alcorcon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon Torremolinos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Torremolinos
5:0
Mar 8, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Torremolinos vs Alcorcon
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Torremolinos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lancho J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berlanga M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Torremolinos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon 95 / 100
Torremolinos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon Torremolinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Alcorcon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Torremolinos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alcorcon found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Torremolinos has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon VS Torremolinos
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon

(Home)
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
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Torremolinos

(Away)
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
9 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)