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Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon host UD Ibiza in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Alcorcon have averaged 1.53 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against UD Ibiza's 1.52 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Ibiza slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.31) point toward UD Ibiza. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alcorcon
20%
Draws
33%
UD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Ibiza lately — more wins on the board than Alcorcon.
  • Model gives Alcorcon a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 18%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon UD Ibiza
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Alcorcon
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza
2:2
May 10, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Alcorcon
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza
1:2
Jan 8, 2022 LaLiga2
UD Ibiza vs Alcorcon
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon 85 / 100
UD Ibiza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon UD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Alcorcon scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

UD Ibiza let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Alcorcon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon VS UD Ibiza
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon

(Home)
16 Oct
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Huesca
10 Oct
Teruel
1 : 0
Alcorcon
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

UD Ibiza

(Away)
17 Oct
Aguilas FC
1 : 2
UD Ibiza
09 Oct
UD Ibiza
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
04 Oct
Villarreal B
0 : 1
UD Ibiza
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
2 Zaragoza 8 5 2 1 16:10 17
3 Murcia 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
4 FC Cartagena SAD 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
5 Jaen 8 4 3 1 12:8 15
6 Alcorcon 8 3 4 1 14:6 13
7 UD Ibiza 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
8 Hercules 8 4 1 3 6:7 13
9 Real Madrid B 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
10 Huesca 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
11 Gimnastic de Tarragona 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Antequera 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
13 Algeciras 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
14 Atl. Madrid B 8 2 3 3 16:14 9
15 Sant Andreu 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
16 CE Europa 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
17 Aguilas FC 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
18 Teruel 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
19 Rayo Majadahonda 8 1 1 6 5:9 4
20 Torremolinos 8 0 3 5 10:20 3
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)