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Alcoyano vs SD Ibiza

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 Estadio El Collao, Alcoy
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Carbonell P.

AI Match Summary

Alcoyano in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcoyano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alcoyano
30%
Draws
47%
SD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcoyano have won more games recently than SD Ibiza.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on SD Ibiza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 22%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcoyano SD Ibiza
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 13 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alcoyano vs SD Ibiza
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs Alcoyano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcoyano Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbonell P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SD Ibiza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcoyano 13 / 100
SD Ibiza 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcoyano SD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ibiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ibiza has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Alcoyano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alcoyano's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alcoyano VS SD Ibiza
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcoyano

(Home)
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Alcoyano
2 : 2
Valencia B
19 Aug
Aguilas FC
3 : 0
Alcoyano
14 Aug
Alcoyano
1 : 0
Hercules
Page 1 of 6

SD Ibiza

(Away)
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
08 Aug
UD Ibiza
1 : 0
SD Ibiza
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1
UD Poblense
26 Apr
SD Ibiza
2 : 2
Andratx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)