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Alcoyano vs SD Ibiza

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 Estadio El Collao, Alcoy
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Carbonell P.

AI Match Summary

Alcoyano in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcoyano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Alcoyano
28%
Draws
22%
SD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Alcoyano have won more games recently than SD Ibiza.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Alcoyano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 68%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcoyano SD Ibiza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 13 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alcoyano vs SD Ibiza
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs Alcoyano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcoyano Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbonell P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SD Ibiza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcoyano 59 / 100
SD Ibiza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcoyano SD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ibiza has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Alcoyano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

SD Ibiza's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alcoyano scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcoyano VS SD Ibiza
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcoyano

(Home)
17 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
Alcoyano
10 May
Alcoyano
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes
03 May
Porreres
0 : 0
Alcoyano
26 Apr
Alcoyano
2 : 0
Sant Andreu
19 Apr
Andratx
0 : 0
Alcoyano
Page 1 of 6

SD Ibiza

(Away)
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1
UD Poblense
26 Apr
SD Ibiza
2 : 2
Andratx
19 Apr
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 0
SD Ibiza
12 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
2 : 1
SD Ibiza
05 Apr
SD Ibiza
1 : 3
Baleares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sant Andreu34206851:3366
2Baleares34199653:3466
3UD Poblense341611741:2859
4Reus FC Reddis341671150:3855
5Alcoyano341316530:2055
6Barcelona B3414101062:4052
7Girona B3412111145:3747
8Terrassa3411131036:4446
9Valencia B3410141053:5044
10Espanyol B3410141034:3544
11UD Barbastro3410131132:3143
12Olot3410121231:3242
13Castellon B341191459:7242
14SD Ibiza3410101435:4440
15Andratx34891735:5633
16CE Atletic Lleida346121637:5130
17Torrent34791836:5330
18Porreres34691922:4427
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)