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Alcudia vs CD Ferrerias

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Alcudia and CD Ferrerias finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ferrerias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Alcudia
15%
Draws
12%
CD Ferrerias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • CD Ferrerias haven't matched Alcudia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alcudia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 18%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia CD Ferrerias
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 17 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.54 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alcudia
2:1
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs CD Ferrerias
3:0
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs CD Ferrerias
1:2
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alcudia
3:0
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alcudia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 85 / 100
CD Ferrerias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia CD Ferrerias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ferrerias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 33 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alcudia scored in 77% of their last 39 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

CD Ferrerias lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
Page 1 of 8

CD Ferrerias

(Away)
13 May
Espana
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2
Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0
CD Ferrerias
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)