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Alcudia vs Esporles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Alcudia Logo

Alcudia

2 - 0
FT
Esporles Logo

Esporles

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Alcudia and Esporles finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Alcudia
15%
Draws
12%
Esporles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Esporles haven't matched Alcudia's recent run of results.
  • Alcudia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%
Esporles Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Esporles
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.39 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Esporles
2:0
Dec 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Alcudia
2:4
Apr 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Esporles
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Alcudia
3:3
May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Alcudia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 95 / 100
Esporles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Esporles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Alcudia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Esporles lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
04 Oct
Cardassar
6 : 2
Alcudia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 8

Esporles

(Away)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 20 13 5 2 38:11 44
2 Andratx 20 14 2 4 35:17 44
3 Constancia 20 10 5 5 24:14 35
4 Manacor 20 9 7 4 26:20 34
5 Portmany 20 9 3 8 29:26 30
6 Collerense 20 8 5 7 28:26 29
7 Soller 20 6 5 9 21:36 23
8 Cardassar 20 5 7 8 20:28 22
9 Felanitx 20 5 4 11 29:32 19
10 Ferriolense 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Genova 20 2 5 13 19:41 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Platges de Calvia 20 13 6 1 31:13 45
2 PE Sant Jordi 20 12 5 3 33:17 41
3 Formentera 20 12 3 5 36:20 39
4 Mallorca B 20 11 5 4 34:10 38
5 Santanyi 20 11 2 7 23:12 35
6 El Espinar Sant Rafel 20 5 7 8 25:24 22
7 Llosetense 20 6 4 10 17:28 22
8 Alcudia 20 5 6 9 17:32 21
9 Santa Catalina Atletico 20 4 5 11 12:30 17
10 Binissalem 20 2 9 9 17:24 15
11 Esporles 20 1 4 15 15:50 7
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)