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Alcudia vs Esporles

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Alcudia and Esporles finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alcudia
6%
Draws
4%
Esporles
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Esporles haven't matched Alcudia's recent run of results.
  • Alcudia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%
Esporles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Esporles
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Esporles
2:0
Dec 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Alcudia
2:4
Apr 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Esporles
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Alcudia
3:3
May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Alcudia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 95 / 100
Esporles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Esporles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Alcudia's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Alcudia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
18 Apr
Alcudia
2 : 2
Pena Deportiva
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 7

Esporles

(Away)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SD Ibiza20135238:1144
2Andratx20142435:1744
3Constancia20105524:1435
4Manacor2097426:2034
5Portmany2093829:2630
6Collerense2085728:2629
7Soller2065921:3623
8Cardassar2057820:2822
9Felanitx20541129:3219
10Ferriolense20341314:3213
11Genova20251319:4111
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Platges de Calvia20136131:1345
2PE Sant Jordi20125333:1741
3Formentera20123536:2039
4Mallorca B20115434:1038
5Santanyi20112723:1235
6El Espinar Sant Rafel2057825:2422
7Llosetense20641017:2822
8Alcudia2056917:3221
9Santa Catalina Atletico20451112:3017
10Binissalem2029917:2415
11Esporles20141515:507
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)