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Alcudia vs Genova

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Alcudia
20%
Draws
36%
Genova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Genova.
  • Model gives Alcudia a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 18%
Genova Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Genova
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.36 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Genova
2:0
May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Alcudia
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 67 / 100
Genova 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Genova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Genova conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Alcudia scored in 72% of their last 39 outings.

Solid form: Alcudia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
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Genova

(Away)
20 Jun
Alcudia
2 : 0
Genova
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Binissalem
2 : 2
Genova
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Llosetense
3 : 1
Genova
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