Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Alcudia host Mercadal in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Alcudia have averaged 1.56 scored and 1.65 conceded recently, against Mercadal's 0.94 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Mercadal slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.25, favoring Alcudia. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alcudia have won more games recently than Mercadal.
- Model gives Alcudia a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcudia | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcudia scored in 79% of their last 34 games.
Mercadal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Alcudia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alcudia
(Home)Mercadal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 | SD Ibiza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardassar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Constancia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Porreres | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Formentera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 10 | PE Sant Jordi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Andratx | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Arenal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Migjorn | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Inter Ibiza | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 18 | Sineu | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:14 | 0 |
