Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Montori A.
25'
25'
Peluffo A.
37'
37'
Arana F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Alcudia haven't matched Pena Deportiva's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Alcudia's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcudia | Pena Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Pena Deportiva
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Alcudia
5:1
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Alcudia
3:1
Oct 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Pena Deportiva
1:1
May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Alcudia
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcudia Compare
Top Goalscorer Peluffo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arana F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Pena Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Montori A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fraile M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcudia 95 / 100
Pena Deportiva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcudia Pena Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Alcudia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Pena Deportiva let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Pena Deportiva's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alcudia VS Pena Deportiva
1.67 Goals Scored 2.13
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcudia
(Home) 26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0 Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2 Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2 Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0 Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2 Alcudia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2 Santanyi
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0 Inter Ibiza
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
18 Apr
Alcudia
2 : 2 Pena Deportiva
01 Apr
Alcudia
1 : 2 Rotlet Molinar
Page 1 of 3
Pena Deportiva
(Away) 27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2 Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
