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Alcudia vs Son Ferrer

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Alcudia and Son Ferrer finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Son Ferrer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alcudia
15%
Draws
0%
Son Ferrer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Son Ferrer haven't matched Alcudia's recent run of results.
  • Alcudia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Alcudia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 19%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Son Ferrer
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 13 28
Goals Scored 1.47 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.66 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Son Ferrer
4:2
Oct 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Alcudia
0:1
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Son Ferrer
0:1
Nov 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Alcudia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 85 / 100
Son Ferrer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Son Ferrer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Son Ferrer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Son Ferrer's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
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Son Ferrer

(Away)
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1
Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1
Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)