Sport Picks
Aldershot vs Brighton U21
England
National League Cup 2025/2026 EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Simmonds F. In: Mackley C.
Out: Simmonds F.
63'
63'
Sub
Abrahams T. In: Ghandour H.
Out: Abrahams T.
63'
63'
Sub
Barrett J. In: Hill R.
Out: Barrett J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Brighton U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aldershot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Aldershot haven't matched Brighton U21's recent run of results.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Brighton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Brighton U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 19%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aldershot | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Brighton U21
1:2
Nov 5, 2024 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Brighton U21
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aldershot Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghandour H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Brighton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nti S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aldershot 36 / 100
Brighton U21 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aldershot Brighton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Aldershot found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Brighton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Aldershot has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aldershot VS Brighton U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aldershot
(Home) 12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2 Aldershot
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3 West Ham U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0 Halifax
31 Aug
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Aldershot
28 Aug
Aldershot
3 : 1 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3 West Ham U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0 Halifax
28 Aug
Aldershot
3 : 1 Harrogate
18 Aug
Aldershot
2 : 3 Fulham U21
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 3
Brighton U21
(Away) 11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0 Leicester U21
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2 Arsenal U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Brighton U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
