Sport Picks
Aldershot vs Southampton U21
England
National League Cup 2025/2026 EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sesay M.
8'
8'
Ghandour H.
22'
22'
Dipepa B.
AI Match Summary
Southampton U21 in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aldershot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aldershot have won more games recently than Southampton U21.
- Win probability leans Aldershot's way, sitting at 60%.
- Aldershot have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Southampton U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 12%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aldershot | Southampton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2025 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Southampton U21
3:4
Dec 3, 2024 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Southampton U21
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aldershot Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghandour H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nelson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Southampton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sesay M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dipepa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aldershot 56 / 100
Southampton U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aldershot Southampton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southampton U21 let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Aldershot scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Aldershot went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aldershot VS Southampton U21
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Aldershot
(Home) 08 Aug
Boston United
0 : 1 Aldershot
01 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Aldershot
25 Jul
Hanwell Town
0 : 2 Aldershot
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3 Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3 Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
15 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 0 Portsmouth
25 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2 Truro
14 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2 Southend
Page 1 of 3
Southampton U21
(Away) 01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Southampton U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
12 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 0 Southampton U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Southampton U21
12 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 0 Southampton U21
13 Mar
Manchester United U21
2 : 1 Southampton U21
06 Mar
Nottingham U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
