Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Peart B.
Assist: Sandah H.
19'
19'
Efete M.
29'
29'
Lyttle T.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Aldershot and Tamworth finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aldershot.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aldershot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tamworth come out ahead of Aldershot on wins alone.
- Aldershot are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 68%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aldershot | Tamworth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Tamworth
5:1
Feb 14, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs Aldershot
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Tamworth
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Tamworth
2:2
Aug 26, 2024 National League
Tamworth vs Aldershot
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aldershot Compare
Top Goalscorer Efete M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dinanga M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Acquaye B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aldershot 95 / 100
Tamworth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aldershot Tamworth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aldershot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamworth has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Aldershot scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Aldershot has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aldershot VS Tamworth
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Aldershot
(Home) 26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2 Aldershot
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3 West Ham U21
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3 West Ham U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0 Halifax
28 Aug
Aldershot
3 : 1 Harrogate
Page 1 of 4
Tamworth
(Away) 26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
31 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 2 Tamworth
22 Aug
Halifax
4 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Southend | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:16 | 20 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Harrogate | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Kidderminster | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Altrincham | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Worthing FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Sutton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Hornchurch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Forest Green | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 14 | Halifax | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 15 | Woking | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Barrow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 18 | Boston United | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Carlisle | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17:28 | 8 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:26 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
