Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aldier vs Alay Osh

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sodikov S.
27'
Aysarov A.
31' Event
Talantbek uulu K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Aldier and Alay Osh finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alay Osh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aldier
30%
Draws
41%
Alay Osh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alay Osh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Alay Osh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Aldier taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aldier Clean Sheet 10%
Alay Osh Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldier Alay Osh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Alay Osh
1:3
Jun 22, 2026 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
0:2
Nov 5, 2025 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
2:2
Mar 26, 2025 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Alay Osh
0:1
Oct 7, 2024 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldier Compare

Top Goalscorer Sodikov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Alay Osh Compare

Top Goalscorer Solodovnicov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Talantbek uulu K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldier 38 / 100
Alay Osh 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldier Alay Osh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aldier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aldier scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Alay Osh conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Aldier went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aldier VS Alay Osh
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldier

(Home)
07 Sept
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 2
Aldier
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2
Muras United
24 Aug
Toktogul
2 : 1
Aldier
19 Aug
Aldier
1 : 1
Abdysh-Ata Kant
14 Aug
Ozgon
3 : 2
Aldier
Page 1 of 6

Alay Osh

(Away)
10 Sept
Alay Osh
0 : 1
Muras United
05 Sept
Bars
6 : 0
Alay Osh
31 Aug
Alay Osh
0 : 0
Asiagoal Bishkek
23 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
0 : 2
Alay Osh
16 Aug
Alay Osh
2 : 0
Talant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 22 14 4 4 63:31 46
2 Muras United 22 13 7 2 47:20 46
3 Alga Bishkek 23 13 7 3 41:23 46
4 Ozgon 22 14 2 6 48:27 44
5 Asia Talas 23 12 7 4 52:36 43
6 Alay Osh 23 12 5 6 31:27 41
7 Talant 24 7 9 8 29:25 30
8 Dordoi Bishkek 23 8 5 10 36:32 29
9 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 23 9 2 12 31:39 29
10 Ilbirs 23 6 10 7 29:34 28
11 Aldier 23 7 7 9 34:41 28
12 Toktogul 23 8 4 11 26:35 28
13 Bishkek City 23 5 9 9 22:31 24
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 24 4 9 11 27:40 21
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 23 2 5 16 18:49 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 24 1 6 17 19:63 9
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)