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Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sosa A.
22'
Sub
Merlo J. In: Colazo A.
Out: Merlo J.
40' Event
Auzmendi A.
Assist: Silva Torrejon P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Aldosivi and Gimnasia L.P. finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia L.P..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aldosivi
30%
Draws
42%
Gimnasia L.P.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Gimnasia L.P. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aldosivi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gimnasia L.P. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldosivi Gimnasia L.P.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Aldosivi
3:1
Aug 24, 2022 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Aldosivi
0:0
Sep 25, 2021 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:3
Nov 10, 2019 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaitan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Auzmendi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colazo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldosivi 46 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldosivi Gimnasia L.P.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia L.P. has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Aldosivi scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Aldosivi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aldosivi VS Gimnasia L.P.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldosivi

(Home)
04 Oct
Huracan
1 : 0
Aldosivi
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia L.P.

(Away)
03 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1
Tigre
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
3 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
4 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)