Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Chilpancingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Logo

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

2 - 1
FT
Chilpancingo Logo

Chilpancingo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
20%
Draws
47%
Chilpancingo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chilpancingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Chilpancingo
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 19 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Chilpancingo
2:1
Jan 21, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2:1
Sep 6, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Chilpancingo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 66 / 100
Chilpancingo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Chilpancingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Chilpancingo let in goals in 85% of their last 39 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chilpancingo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

(Home)
07 May
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
01 May
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Page 1 of 6

Chilpancingo

(Away)
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1
Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1
Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Calor De San Pedro -
TBD -
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 2
Chilpancingo 1
Tho Mayas 2
Mazorqueros 0
Pioneros 1
Huracanes Izcalli 0
Semi-finals
Calor De San Pedro 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 5
Tho Mayas 1
Pioneros 1
Final
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 6
Tho Mayas 4