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Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Ciervos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 game between Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 and Ciervos finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
15%
Draws
26%
Ciervos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 come out ahead of Ciervos on wins alone.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Ciervos
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 1.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Ciervos
4:0
Oct 22, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2:1
Apr 19, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
0:5
Mar 11, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Ciervos
1:0
Nov 6, 2021 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 85 / 100
Ciervos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Ciervos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ciervos conceded in 89% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciervos
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

(Home)
07 May
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
01 May
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
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Ciervos

(Away)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calor De San Pedro 10 7 2 1 20:5 24
2 Tho Mayas 10 6 3 1 17:6 23
3 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 18:6 20
4 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 10 5 2 3 19:4 17
5 Chilpancingo 10 5 2 3 14:12 16
6 Huracanes Izcalli 10 4 2 4 15:15 15
7 Mazorqueros 10 4 1 5 13:13 15
8 Zitacuaro 10 3 4 3 15:12 12
9 Atl. Angelopolis 10 3 0 7 8:26 9
10 Ciervos 10 1 1 8 14:30 6
11 Canoneros FC 10 1 1 8 9:33 4
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)