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Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Pioneros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
15%
Draws
54%
Pioneros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pioneros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 come out ahead of Pioneros on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Pioneros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Pioneros
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 19 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Pioneros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Pioneros
1:0
Nov 3, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Pioneros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
1:2
Sep 27, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Pioneros
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 36 / 100
Pioneros 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Pioneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pioneros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Pioneros conceded in 74% of 43 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pioneros
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

(Home)
07 May
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
01 May
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
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Pioneros

(Away)
03 Oct
Pioneros
2 : 1
Montaneses
26 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 3
Pioneros
19 Sept
Pioneros
5 : 1
Tapachula
08 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 4
Pioneros
29 Aug
Pioneros
0 : 3
Celaya
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mazorqueros -
TBD -
Calor De San Pedro 2
Chilpancingo 1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 1
Tho Mayas 0
Pioneros 3
Zitacuaro 0
Semi-finals
Mazorqueros 0
Calor De San Pedro 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 3
Pioneros 1
Final
Calor De San Pedro 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 2