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Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Tho Mayas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Logo

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

3 - 3
FT
Tho Mayas Logo

Tho Mayas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
35%
Draws
30%
Tho Mayas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 lately — more wins on the board than Tho Mayas.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 taking it.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Tho Mayas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Tho Mayas
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Tho Mayas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
1:3
Apr 16, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Tho Mayas
3:3
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Tho Mayas
0:0
Oct 28, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Tho Mayas
1:0
Oct 8, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Tho Mayas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 68 / 100
Tho Mayas 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Tho Mayas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Tho Mayas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 VS Tho Mayas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

(Home)
07 May
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
01 May
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Page 1 of 6

Tho Mayas

(Away)
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Tho Mayas
0 : 0
Pioneros
01 Apr
Pioneros
1 : 1
Tho Mayas
25 Mar
Tho Mayas
2 : 0
Mazorqueros
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Calor De San Pedro -
TBD -
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 2
Chilpancingo 1
Tho Mayas 2
Mazorqueros 0
Pioneros 1
Huracanes Izcalli 0
Semi-finals
Calor De San Pedro 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 5
Tho Mayas 1
Pioneros 1
Final
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 6
Tho Mayas 4