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Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Tho Mayas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Logo

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

1 - 0
FT
Tho Mayas Logo

Tho Mayas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
35%
Draws
30%
Tho Mayas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tho Mayas haven't matched Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2's recent run of results.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 taking it.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Tho Mayas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Tho Mayas
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Tho Mayas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
1:3
Apr 16, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Tho Mayas
3:3
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Tho Mayas
0:0
Oct 28, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Tho Mayas
1:0
Oct 8, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Tho Mayas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 58 / 100
Tho Mayas 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Tho Mayas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Tho Mayas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 VS Tho Mayas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

(Home)
07 May
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
01 May
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
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Tho Mayas

(Away)
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Tho Mayas
0 : 0
Pioneros
01 Apr
Pioneros
1 : 1
Tho Mayas
25 Mar
Tho Mayas
2 : 0
Mazorqueros
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mazorqueros -
TBD -
Calor De San Pedro 2
Chilpancingo 1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 1
Tho Mayas 0
Pioneros 3
Zitacuaro 0
Semi-finals
Mazorqueros 0
Calor De San Pedro 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 3
Pioneros 1
Final
Calor De San Pedro 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 2