Sport Picks
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca, Oaxaca de Juárez 
AI Match Summary
Alebrijes de Oaxaca in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Correcaminos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Correcaminos average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Alebrijes de Oaxaca's 1.1.
- Win probability leans Correcaminos's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 12%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos
0:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:3
Feb 7, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 19 / 100
Correcaminos 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Correcaminos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Correcaminos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alebrijes de Oaxaca scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Correcaminos conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alebrijes de Oaxaca VS Correcaminos
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Home) 04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
14 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
31 Jul
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 3
Correcaminos
(Away) 03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1 Correcaminos
21 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 3 Correcaminos
07 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 3 Correcaminos
25 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 3 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
