Sport Picks
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados de Sinaloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca, Oaxaca de Juárez 
Match Events
23'
23'
Franco J.
Assist: Tamay A.
27'
27'
Yanez S.
Assist: Reyes J.
38'
38'
Castro J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Dorados de Sinaloa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Dorados de Sinaloa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 10%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Dorados de Sinaloa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados de Sinaloa
0:2
Feb 27, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados de Sinaloa
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:2
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados de Sinaloa
2:2
Nov 3, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Franco J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Morales F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Dorados de Sinaloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Yanez S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coronel O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14 / 100
Dorados de Sinaloa 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Dorados de Sinaloa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dorados de Sinaloa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dorados de Sinaloa let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Alebrijes de Oaxaca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alebrijes de Oaxaca VS Dorados de Sinaloa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Home) 09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
14 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 3
Dorados de Sinaloa
(Away) 04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
20 Aug
Venados FC
4 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
31 Jul
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
