Sport Picks
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca, Oaxaca de Juárez 
AI Match Summary
Alebrijes de Oaxaca host Tepatitlan de Morelos in the Liga de Expansion MX. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have averaged 0.71 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Tepatitlan de Morelos's 1.13 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 1 to Tepatitlan de Morelos's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 1.35, favoring Tepatitlan de Morelos. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca haven't matched Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Tepatitlan de Morelos taking it.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Tepatitlan de Morelos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.71 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.57 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alebrijes de Oaxaca scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Tepatitlan de Morelos has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Tepatitlan de Morelos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Home)Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Alacranes de Durango | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Venados FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Correcaminos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Tapatio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 7 | Piratas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Club Atletico Morelia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 11 | Jaiba Brava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Cancun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Atletico La Paz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 14 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 16 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
