Sport Picks
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca, Oaxaca de Juárez 
Match Events
20'
20'
Esqueda Romero J. A.
28'
28'
Oliveira Silva C. H.
40'
40'
Alvarez K.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Tlaxcala finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tlaxcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Tlaxcala are scoring more at 1.31.
- Win probability leans Tlaxcala's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 16%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala
2:3
Oct 6, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10 / 100
Tlaxcala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Tlaxcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tlaxcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alebrijes de Oaxaca scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Tlaxcala let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Alebrijes de Oaxaca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alebrijes de Oaxaca VS Tlaxcala
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Home) 25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
14 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
31 Jul
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 3
Tlaxcala
(Away) 26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2 Tlaxcala
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
01 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
