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Alemdag vs Payasspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Demir F.
14' Event
Ates D.
15' Event
Demir Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 game between Alemdag and Payasspor finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alemdag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alemdag
20%
Draws
16%
Payasspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alemdag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Alemdag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Alemdag taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alemdag Clean Sheet 68%
Payasspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alemdag Payasspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Alemdag vs Payasspor
4:1
Nov 12, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Payasspor vs Alemdag
3:0
Apr 5, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
Alemdag vs Payasspor
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 3. Lig Group 2
Payasspor vs Alemdag
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alemdag Compare

Top Goalscorer Demir F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demir Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Payasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ates D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alemdag 95 / 100
Payasspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alemdag Payasspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alemdag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Payasspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Alemdag's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Payasspor's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alemdag VS Payasspor
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alemdag

(Home)
01 May
Alemdag
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
25 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
0 : 2
Alemdag
21 Apr
Alemdag
1 : 2
Cankaya FK
14 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1
Alemdag
08 Apr
Alemdag
1 : 2
Kizilcabolukspor
Page 1 of 6

Payasspor

(Away)
01 May
Guzide Gebzespor
3 : 0
Payasspor
25 Apr
Payasspor
1 : 5
Kizilcabolukspor
21 Apr
Payasspor
1 : 3
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
14 Apr
Nevsehir
2 : 0
Payasspor
08 Apr
Payasspor
1 : 1
Ofspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 20 8 2 43:18 68
2 Bucaspor 1928 30 20 7 3 58:18 67
3 Malatya 30 17 5 8 50:27 56
4 Ofspor 30 14 11 5 43:31 53
5 Arnavutkoy Bl. 30 13 9 8 40:29 48
6 Edirnespor Genclik 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Guzide Gebzespor 30 11 10 9 41:29 43
8 Hopaspor 30 10 9 11 41:44 39
9 Fatsa Bld. 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
10 Kizilcabolukspor 30 9 10 11 34:33 37
11 Nevsehir 30 9 7 14 31:31 34
12 Cankaya FK 30 10 4 16 28:48 34
13 Alemdag 30 9 6 15 37:48 33
14 Kemerspor 2003 30 7 6 17 27:50 27
15 Payasspor 30 5 8 17 29:56 23
16 Manisaspor 30 1 9 20 22:56 12
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)