Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alemdag vs Payasspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Demir F.
14' Event
Ates D.
15' Event
Demir Y.

AI Match Summary

Alemdag host Payasspor in the 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Alemdag at 1.38 goals for, 1.5 against; Payasspor at 0.63 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, Alemdag have won 1 to Payasspor's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2021, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.06) point toward Alemdag. Alemdag in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alemdag
6%
Draws
4%
Payasspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alemdag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alemdag has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Payasspor.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Alemdag.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Alemdag Clean Sheet 68%
Payasspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alemdag Payasspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Alemdag vs Payasspor
4:1
Nov 12, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Payasspor vs Alemdag
3:0
Apr 5, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
Alemdag vs Payasspor
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 3. Lig Group 2
Payasspor vs Alemdag
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alemdag Compare

Top Goalscorer Demir F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demir Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Payasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ates D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alemdag 95 / 100
Payasspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alemdag Payasspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alemdag scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Payasspor let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Alemdag went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Payasspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alemdag VS Payasspor
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)30208243:1868
2Bucaspor 192830207358:1867
3Malatya30175850:2756
4Ofspor301411543:3153
5Arnavutkoy Bl.30139840:2948
6Edirnespor Genclik30129934:3145
7Guzide Gebzespor301110941:2943
8Hopaspor301091141:4439
9Fatsa Bld.301081222:3138
10Kizilcabolukspor309101134:3337
11Nevsehir30971431:3134
12Cankaya FK301041628:4834
13Alemdag30961537:4833
14Kemerspor 200330761727:5027
15Payasspor30581729:5623
16Manisaspor30192022:5612