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Ales vs Lyon - La Duchere

France France

National 2 - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2022/2023 game between Ales and Lyon - La Duchere finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ales
15%
Draws
20%
Lyon - La Duchere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lyon - La Duchere come out ahead of Ales on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ales's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ales Clean Sheet 20%
Lyon - La Duchere Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ales Lyon - La Duchere
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Ales vs Lyon - La Duchere
4:3
Aug 20, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Lyon - La Duchere vs Ales
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ales 85 / 100
Lyon - La Duchere 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ales Lyon - La Duchere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ales scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Lyon - La Duchere has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ales stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ales VS Lyon - La Duchere
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ales

(Home)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
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Lyon - La Duchere

(Away)
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Andrezieux
3 : 1
Lyon - La Duchere
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1
Nimes
29 Aug
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Lyon - La Duchere
22 Aug
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 16 8 6 37:23 56
2 Jura Sud 30 15 7 8 45:34 52
3 RC Grasse 30 14 9 7 49:33 51
4 Thonon-Evian 30 15 6 9 41:28 51
5 Lyon - La Duchere 30 15 6 9 46:33 51
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 11 12 7 32:25 45
7 Hyeres 30 11 9 10 40:33 42
8 Auxerre II 30 10 11 9 37:30 41
9 Toulon 30 11 5 14 38:41 38
10 Ales 30 11 10 9 41:36 38
11 Aubagne FC 30 9 10 11 39:46 37
12 Louhans Cuiseaux 30 9 9 12 45:47 36
13 Canet Roussillon 30 10 8 12 26:28 35
14 Lyon II 30 8 8 14 36:45 32
15 Saint Priest 30 6 11 13 38:45 29
16 Sete 30 3 3 24 23:86 12
Promotion - National 2023/2024 (Main)