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Alessandria vs Albissola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Maltese D.
34' Event
De Luca M.
58'
Sub
Balestrero D. In: Oukhadda S.
Out: Balestrero D.

AI Match Summary

Alessandria in this Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alessandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Alessandria
20%
Draws
29%
Albissola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alessandria lately — more wins on the board than Albissola.
  • Alessandria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alessandria here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 19%
Albissola Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria Albissola
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Albissola
3:0
Dec 26, 2018 Serie C - Group A
Albissola vs Alessandria
1:2
Oct 10, 2018 Coppa Italia Serie C
Alessandria vs Albissola
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Maltese D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Luca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Albissola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria 85 / 100
Albissola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria Albissola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albissola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alessandria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Alessandria scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alessandria VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria

(Home)
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3
Alessandria
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
Page 1 of 7

Albissola

(Away)
04 May
Alessandria
3 : 0
Albissola
27 Apr
Albissola
1 : 1
Lucchese
18 Apr
Cuneo
1 : 1
Albissola
13 Apr
Albissola
3 : 2
Siena
06 Apr
Entella
4 : 0
Albissola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Entella 37 22 9 6 58:26 75
2 Piacenza 37 22 8 7 56:33 74
3 Pisa 37 19 12 6 47:28 69
4 Arezzo 37 16 16 5 49:32 64
5 Pro Vercelli 37 18 10 9 45:29 64
6 Siena 37 16 15 6 57:40 63
7 Carrarese 37 19 5 13 65:46 62
8 Pro Patria 37 16 9 12 43:36 57
9 Novara 37 11 17 9 44:36 50
10 Alessandria 37 9 18 10 35:40 45
11 US Pontedera 37 10 15 12 33:39 45
12 Juventus U23 37 12 6 19 41:48 42
13 Olbia 37 9 11 17 40:49 38
14 Arzachena 37 12 2 23 28:54 37
15 Pistoiese 37 9 8 20 36:47 35
16 Gozzano 37 6 15 16 35:44 33
17 Albissola 37 6 10 21 33:59 28
18 Cuneo 37 11 14 12 29:36 24
19 Lucchese 37 9 18 10 45:40 20
20 Pro Piacenza 0 0 0 19 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Out)