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Stadium Background

Alessandria vs Imperia Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Tiana L.
77' Event
Alfiero V.
79' Event
Fofana D.

AI Match Summary

Alessandria in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alessandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Alessandria
15%
Draws
31%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Imperia Calcio have won more games recently than Alessandria.
  • Model gives Alessandria a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 18%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Alessandria vs Imperia Calcio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiana L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfiero V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria 41 / 100
Imperia Calcio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Alessandria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Alessandria scored in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alessandria VS Imperia Calcio
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria

(Home)
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
Page 1 of 6

Imperia Calcio

(Away)
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)