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Alessandria vs Mantova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bombagi F.
40'
Samele L.
47'
Soler I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 game between Alessandria and Mantova finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alessandria
20%
Draws
38%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mantova come out ahead of Alessandria on wins alone.
  • Alessandria are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%
Mantova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria Mantova
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Mantova
0:1
Oct 6, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Mantova vs Alessandria
2:0
Apr 16, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Mantova
0:0
Dec 7, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Mantova vs Alessandria
0:4
Jan 11, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Mantova vs Alessandria
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Bombagi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria 51 / 100
Mantova 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mantova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alessandria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alessandria scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Alessandria VS Mantova
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria

(Home)
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3
Alessandria
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
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Mantova

(Away)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mantova 38 24 8 6 72:31 80
2 Padova 38 21 14 3 55:28 77
3 Vicenza 38 20 11 7 52:30 71
4 Triestina 38 19 7 12 61:44 64
5 Atalanta U23 38 16 11 11 43:36 59
6 Legnago Salus 38 13 17 8 46:39 56
7 Giana Erminio 38 15 8 15 46:44 53
8 Pro Vercelli 38 14 11 13 50:47 53
9 Lumezzane 38 15 8 15 49:48 53
10 Trento 38 13 12 13 34:37 51
11 Virtus Verona 38 12 11 15 35:43 47
12 Pro Patria 38 12 10 16 37:51 46
13 AlbinoLeffe 38 10 15 13 34:37 45
14 Pergolettese 38 13 6 19 44:50 45
15 Renate 38 11 12 15 35:46 45
16 Arzignano 38 10 14 14 32:37 44
17 Novara 38 8 19 11 39:49 43
18 Fiorenzuola 38 10 8 20 38:62 38
19 Pro Sesto 38 7 14 17 25:40 35
20 Alessandria 38 5 8 25 20:48 20
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)