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Alessandria vs Pergolettese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2023/2024
Alessandria Logo

Alessandria

2 - 0
FT
Pergolettese Logo

Pergolettese

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Anatriello G.
90' Event
Pagliuca M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Alessandria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alessandria
35%
Draws
28%
Pergolettese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alessandria haven't matched Pergolettese's recent run of results.
  • Alessandria are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Pergolettese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alessandria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Alessandria have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria Pergolettese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.79 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Alessandria
0:1
Oct 24, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Pergolettese
3:0
Oct 3, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie C
Alessandria vs Pergolettese
2:0
Apr 18, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Pergolettese
1:0
Dec 23, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Alessandria
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Anatriello G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pagliuca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pergolettese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria 51 / 100
Pergolettese 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria Pergolettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pergolettese let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Alessandria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alessandria scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Alessandria VS Pergolettese
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria

(Home)
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3
Alessandria
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
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Pergolettese

(Away)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Avellino 3
Monopoli 0
Foggia 5
Sorrento 0
Turris 2
Audace Cerignola 0
Juve Stabia 3
Potenza 2
Spal 2
Sestri Levante 0
Arezzo 3
Lucchese 4
Pro Vercelli 1
Juventus U23 5
Sassari Torres 1
Olbia 0
Entella -
TBD -
Alessandria 2
Pergolettese 0
Novara 3
Fiorenzuola 2
Carrarese 0
US Pontedera 1
Legnago Salus 2
Padova 4
Pro Sesto 1
Giana Erminio 3
Lumezzane 3
Atalanta U23 2
Arzignano 1
Trento 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
Mantova 0
Pro Patria 1
Virtus Verona 0
Triestina 1
AlbinoLeffe 0
Renate 2
Cesena -
TBD -
Recanatese 1
Vis Pesaro 3
Rimini 1
Gubbio 0
Monterosi 1
Perugia 3
Catania 2
ACR Messina 1
Picerno 2
Taranto 1
Crotone -
TBD -
Virtus Francavilla 0
Brindisi 1
Pescara 6
Fermana 1
Ancona 0
Pineto 1
Benevento 2
Giugliano 3
Latina 1
Casertana 0
1/16-finals
Avellino 3
Foggia 1
Turris 3
Juve Stabia 5
Spal 0
Lucchese 2
Juventus U23 1
Sassari Torres 0
Entella 3
Alessandria 0
Novara 1
US Pontedera 2
Padova 3
Giana Erminio 0
Lumezzane 2
Arzignano 1
Vicenza 3
Pro Patria 2
Triestina 4
Renate 0
Cesena 1
Vis Pesaro 0
Rimini 1
Perugia 0
Catania 3
Picerno 2
Crotone 1
Brindisi 0
Pescara 1
Pineto 0
Giugliano 1
Latina 2
1/8-finals
Avellino 1
Juve Stabia 0
Lucchese 3
Juventus U23 2
Entella 0
US Pontedera 1
Padova 2
Lumezzane 0
Vicenza 2
Triestina 0
Cesena 0
Rimini 2
Catania 4
Crotone 3
Pescara 2
Latina 0
Quarter-finals
Avellino 0
Lucchese 1
US Pontedera 0
Padova 1
Vicenza 0
Rimini 1
Catania 2
Pescara 0
Semi-finals
Lucchese 1
Padova 2
Rimini 1
Catania 2
Final
Padova 4
Catania 5