Sport Picks
Alessandria vs Pro Patria Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 
Match Events
5'
5'
Castelli D.
15'
15'
Mastalli A.
25'
25'
Castelli D.
AI Match Summary
Pro Patria in this Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Patria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alessandria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Alessandria haven't matched Pro Patria's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 14%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alessandria | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Pro Patria
1:2
Dec 8, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Alessandria
1:1
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pro Patria vs Alessandria
1:2
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Alessandria vs Pro Patria
1:0
May 2, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Pro Patria
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alessandria Compare
Top Goalscorer Mastalli A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Pro Patria Compare
Top Goalscorer Castelli D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alessandria 31 / 100
Pro Patria 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alessandria Pro Patria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pro Patria has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Alessandria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Alessandria scored in 50% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Alessandria VS Pro Patria
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alessandria
(Home) 04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3 Alessandria
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1 Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
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30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2 Juventus U23
28 Apr
Alessandria
1 : 2 Vicenza
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Pro Patria
(Away) 04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0 Pro Patria
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1 Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
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04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0 Pro Patria
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4 Pro Patria
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mantova | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 72:31 | 80 |
| 2 | Padova | 38 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 55:28 | 77 |
| 3 | Vicenza | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 52:30 | 71 |
| 4 | Triestina | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 43:36 | 59 |
| 6 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 7 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 46:44 | 53 |
| 8 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 49:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Trento | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 34:37 | 51 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 35:43 | 47 |
| 12 | Pro Patria | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 37:51 | 46 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 34:37 | 45 |
| 14 | Pergolettese | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 15 | Renate | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Arzignano | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 17 | Novara | 38 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 39:49 | 43 |
| 18 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 38:62 | 38 |
| 19 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 25:40 | 35 |
| 20 | Alessandria | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 20:48 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)
