Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alessandria vs Vicenza Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Fantoni N. In: Lattanzio A.
Out: Fantoni N.
37' Event
Busatto T.
(Penalty)
46'
Ferrari F.

AI Match Summary

Vicenza in this Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vicenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Alessandria
20%
Draws
24%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vicenza lately — more wins on the board than Alessandria.
  • Alessandria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vicenza have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria Vicenza
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.68 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Vicenza
1:2
Dec 22, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Alessandria
1:0
May 6, 2022 Serie B
Alessandria vs Vicenza
0:1
Jan 30, 2022 Serie B
Vicenza vs Alessandria
2:1
Mar 22, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Alessandria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vicenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Busato G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria 77 / 100
Vicenza 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vicenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Alessandria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Alessandria scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alessandria VS Vicenza
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria

(Home)
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
Page 1 of 6

Vicenza

(Away)
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mantova 38 24 8 6 72:31 80
2 Padova 38 21 14 3 55:28 77
3 Vicenza 38 20 11 7 52:30 71
4 Triestina 38 19 7 12 61:44 64
5 Atalanta U23 38 16 11 11 43:36 59
6 Legnago Salus 38 13 17 8 46:39 56
7 Giana Erminio 38 15 8 15 46:44 53
8 Pro Vercelli 38 14 11 13 50:47 53
9 Lumezzane 38 15 8 15 49:48 53
10 Trento 38 13 12 13 34:37 51
11 Virtus Verona 38 12 11 15 35:43 47
12 Pro Patria 38 12 10 16 37:51 46
13 AlbinoLeffe 38 10 15 13 34:37 45
14 Pergolettese 38 13 6 19 44:50 45
15 Renate 38 11 12 15 35:46 45
16 Arzignano 38 10 14 14 32:37 44
17 Novara 38 8 19 11 39:49 43
18 Fiorenzuola 38 10 8 20 38:62 38
19 Pro Sesto 38 7 14 17 25:40 35
20 Alessandria 38 5 8 25 20:48 20
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)