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Alesves vs Bidezarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Oses A.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Oterminri A.
53' Event
Castillo R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Alesves and Bidezarra finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bidezarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alesves
20%
Draws
80%
Bidezarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bidezarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bidezarra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bidezarra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Alesves Clean Sheet 20%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alesves Bidezarra
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Bidezarra
0:6
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Alesves
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alesves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Bidezarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Oterminri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alesves 10 / 100
Bidezarra 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alesves Bidezarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bidezarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Bidezarra conceded in 68% of 38 recent games.

Alesves found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Bidezarra registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bidezarra
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alesves

(Home)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
Page 1 of 6

Bidezarra

(Away)
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)