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Alesves vs Cortes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
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Match Events

82' Event
Kessas A.

AI Match Summary

Cortes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alesves
15%
Draws
85%
Cortes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cortes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cortes lately — more wins on the board than Alesves.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Cortes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alesves Clean Sheet 19%
Cortes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alesves Cortes
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.77 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Cortes
0:1
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Alesves
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Alesves
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Cortes
1:2
Feb 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Cortes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alesves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Kessas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alesves 16 / 100
Cortes 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alesves Cortes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cortes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cortes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 38 matches.

Cortes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Alesves found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cortes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alesves

(Home)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
Page 1 of 6

Cortes

(Away)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Cortes
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)