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Alesves vs Oberena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ferrer E.

AI Match Summary

Alesves in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alesves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alesves
20%
Draws
80%
Oberena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oberena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Oberena have won more games recently than Alesves.
  • Oberena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Alesves Clean Sheet 19%
Oberena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alesves Oberena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Oberena
1:0
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Alesves
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Alesves
3:0
Dec 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Oberena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alesves Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Oberena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alesves 10 / 100
Oberena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alesves Oberena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oberena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oberena has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Alesves scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Oberena's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oberena
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alesves

(Home)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
Page 1 of 6

Oberena

(Away)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)