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Alfaro vs Beasain

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bengoetxea A.
24' Event
Fernandez Sainz A.
43' Event
Eguren A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Alfaro and Beasain finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beasain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alfaro
20%
Draws
50%
Beasain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beasain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beasain come out ahead of Alfaro on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Beasain taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Beasain have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 13%
Beasain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Beasain
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Beasain
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Beasain vs Alfaro
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Beasain vs Alfaro
5:0
Oct 23, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Beasain
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Sainz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Beasain Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengoetxea A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eguren A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 22 / 100
Beasain 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Beasain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beasain let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Alfaro scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Alfaro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Beasain
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

Beasain

(Away)
03 May
Beasain
3 : 2
Zaragoza B
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Beasain
1 : 1
UD Logrones
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
05 Apr
Sestao
1 : 1
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)