Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfaro vs CD Calahorra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Fernandez Sainz A.
60' Event
Diaz M.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Fernandez Sainz A.

AI Match Summary

Alfaro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Alfaro
15%
Draws
40%
CD Calahorra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Calahorra have won more games recently than Alfaro.
  • Model gives CD Calahorra a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro CD Calahorra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.13 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs CD Calahorra
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs CD Calahorra
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
CD Calahorra vs Alfaro
0:0
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs CD Calahorra
1:2
Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Alfaro
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Sainz A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CD Calahorra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 26 / 100
CD Calahorra 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro CD Calahorra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfaro found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Alfaro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Calahorra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS CD Calahorra
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

CD Calahorra

(Away)
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
6 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
7 Pradejon 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 5 1 1 3 5:13 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)