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Alfaro vs Haro Deportivo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16
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Match Events

44' Event
Moreno A.
45' Event
Zunzu
53' Event
Fernandez Sainz A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Alfaro and Haro Deportivo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haro Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alfaro
20%
Draws
45%
Haro Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haro Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Haro Deportivo come out ahead of Alfaro on wins alone.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 18%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Haro Deportivo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Haro Deportivo
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro
0:3
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Haro Deportivo
2:1
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Haro Deportivo
5:1
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Sainz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Haro Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zunzu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 32 / 100
Haro Deportivo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Haro Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haro Deportivo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Alfaro scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Haro Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Alfaro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Haro Deportivo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

Haro Deportivo

(Away)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)