Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfonsine vs Franciacorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
De Rose D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Alfonsine in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfonsine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Alfonsine
20%
Draws
51%
Franciacorta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Franciacorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Franciacorta lately — more wins on the board than Alfonsine.
  • Win probability leans Alfonsine's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Alfonsine Clean Sheet 19%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonsine Franciacorta
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Alfonsine vs Franciacorta
1:0
Oct 6, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Franciacorta vs Alfonsine
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonsine 40 / 100
Franciacorta 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonsine Franciacorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfonsine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Franciacorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Alfonsine scored in 52% of their last 21 outings.

Alfonsine has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Franciacorta
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfonsine

(Home)
23 Feb
Alfonsine
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
16 Feb
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Alfonsine
09 Feb
Alfonsine
1 : 0
Franciacorta
02 Feb
Breno
2 : 0
Alfonsine
26 Jan
Correggese
1 : 0
Alfonsine
Page 1 of 5

Franciacorta

(Away)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 7