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Alfonsine vs Mantova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Guccione F.
48' Event
Guccione F.
66' Event
Guccione F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 game between Alfonsine and Mantova finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alfonsine
30%
Draws
47%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mantova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alfonsine a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Alfonsine Clean Sheet 18%
Mantova Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonsine Mantova
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.67 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Mantova vs Alfonsine
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Alfonsine vs Mantova
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfonsine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Guccione F.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonsine 36 / 100
Mantova 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonsine Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mantova conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Alfonsine's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Alfonsine went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mantova
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfonsine

(Home)
23 Feb
Alfonsine
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
16 Feb
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Alfonsine
09 Feb
Alfonsine
1 : 0
Franciacorta
02 Feb
Breno
2 : 0
Alfonsine
26 Jan
Correggese
1 : 0
Alfonsine
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Mantova

(Away)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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