Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfonsine vs Savignanese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Peluso L.
39' Event
Jassey Y.
66' Event
Savelli G.

AI Match Summary

Savignanese in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Savignanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alfonsine
30%
Draws
39%
Savignanese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Savignanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alfonsine lately — more wins on the board than Savignanese.
  • Win probability leans Alfonsine's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Alfonsine Clean Sheet 20%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonsine Savignanese
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.67 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Alfonsine vs Savignanese
1:2
Sep 15, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Alfonsine
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfonsine Compare

Top Goalscorer Savelli G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Savignanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Peluso L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jassey Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonsine 42 / 100
Savignanese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonsine Savignanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savignanese has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Alfonsine scored in 52% of their last 21 games.

Alfonsine has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alfonsine VS Savignanese
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfonsine

(Home)
23 Feb
Alfonsine
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
16 Feb
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Alfonsine
09 Feb
Alfonsine
1 : 0
Franciacorta
02 Feb
Breno
2 : 0
Alfonsine
26 Jan
Correggese
1 : 0
Alfonsine
Page 1 of 5

Savignanese

(Away)
23 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 1
Sammaurese
16 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0
Savignanese
09 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 0
Breno
02 Feb
Ciliverghe Mazzano
3 : 2
Savignanese
26 Jan
Savignanese
0 : 0
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 5