Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Llacuabamba

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Palomino M. In: Avila E.
Out: Palomino M.
31'
Otiniano B.
36'
Vega J.

AI Match Summary

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
6%
Draws
90%
Llacuabamba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Llacuabamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) haven't matched Llacuabamba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Llacuabamba a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 16%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Llacuabamba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Llacuabamba
4:0
Apr 16, 2023 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:1
Aug 14, 2022 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
2:3
May 15, 2022 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Llacuabamba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuero J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ayovi W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Llacuabamba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 10 / 100
Llacuabamba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Llacuabamba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Llacuabamba conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llacuabamba
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427